sports betting pick
NBA Betting Free Picks: Boston @ Orlando NBA betting action returns to your local sportsbook on Wednesday as the Boston Celtics head to Orlando to try and close out their series against the Magic. Orlando finally showed some signs of life in Game 4 as they staved off elimination by beating the Celtics in overtime.
Boston Celtics at Orlando MagicMay 26, 5:30 PM Pacific
We think that the Celtics will finally take care of business here, and they’ve got history on their side. There have been 93 teams in NBA history to fall behind 0-3 in a 7 game series, and only 9 of those teams have ever made it to Game 6. While there’s some interest in taking the Celtics here, we’re of the opinion that an even stronger position is on the game to go Under the total. This handicap isn’t exactly rocket science–the first three games went Under the total and even with an overtime period Game 4 only managed to push against the O/U number.
Both of these teams win with defense. If Orlando is going to get back in the series, they’ve got to keep the Celtics from getting easy points in the paint. If Boston is going to finish off Orlando, they’ve got to put the screws to them defensively. The Magic have gone Over just twice in their previous 11 games, while Boston has exceeded the total in just 3 of their last 11 games. Head to head, the Magic and Celtics have gone Under in 15 of the last 21 meetings and 8 of the last 11 in Orlando. Look for another half court battle tonight and another low scoring game.
Bet Orlando/Boston Under 186′
We went against Boston quite a bit during the regular season, usually justifying it with the observation that the Celtics were ‘looking ahead to the playoffs’. While that mindset didn’t do much for the Celtics’ online betting pointspread performance during the regular season, its paying big dividends now. Doc Rivers really doesn’t get the credit he deserves with the personnel management job he did during the regular season–he kept his starters’ minutes down and kept an eye on the playoffs even at the expense of losing regular season games. Now he’s got a veteran team that’s not worn out and playing their best basketball of the year with an eye on the championship.
Orlando was playing better basketball than anyone in the playoffs, and that might have been their undoing here–it was all coming too easy for them against overmatched Charlotte and disinterested Atlanta. Now they’re facing a team that can outplay them on both ends in the half court game. The Celtics may not have anyone who can physically match up with Dwight Howard in the middle, but they’ve made up for that by working hard on defense and looking to deny him the ball at the source–by clogging the passing lanes. The Magic now face a monumental challenge from a psychological/emotional standpoint as well–they’ve got to win on the road to survive, but that just gets them back to the home court where they weren’t exactly dominant. No disrespect to the Magic players or coaches, but that’s a situation where you need exceptional mental toughness–of the Michael Jordan/Kobe Bryant variety–and Orlando doesn’t have it. In NBA 7 game series, a home team up 2-0 in game 3 (meaning they won the first two on the road) is a 58.8% SU winner overall but is 6-1 (85.7%) winner in the Conference Finals. Orlando has the misfortunate to have run into a confidant, experienced team with superior tactical skill and mental toughness. We’re looking for a Celtics sweep to set up a LA vs. Boston final.
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posted by Sportsbook Betting sites : 10:30 AM
